這場莊家開得比較慢,所以拖到現在才分析,跟大家說聲抱歉。
我要推薦的是大小盤。
1.讓分盤:這場比賽開馬刺讓5.5,因此較有可能成為大比分差距比賽→小分
2.雙方攻守狀況分析:
(1)灰熊:
出賽類型 |
本季例行賽各項盤口往績分析 |
平均 |
|||||
場數 |
獨贏盤戰績 |
讓分盤戰績 |
大小分比例 |
得分 |
失分 |
||
全部場次 |
36 |
24-12 (66.7%) |
21-15 (58.3%) |
12-24 (33.3%) |
94.00 |
90.00 |
|
近5場 |
5 |
3-2 (60%) |
3-2 (60%) |
2-3 (40%) |
92.80 |
93.80 |
|
客場 |
17 |
10-7 (58.8%) |
10-7 (58.8%) |
6-11 (35.3%) |
95.47 |
92.29 |
|
近5場客場 |
5 |
4-1 (80%) |
4-1 (80%) |
1-4 (20%) |
95.00 |
87.20 |
|
vs. 西岸 |
23 |
14-9 (60.9%) |
12-11 (52.2%) |
10-13 (43.5%) |
94.70 |
92.61 |
|
vs. 西南組 |
7 |
4-3 (57.1%) |
3-4 (42.9%) |
3-4 (42.9%) |
93.71 |
96.86 |
|
受讓出賽時 |
8 |
4-4 (50%) |
5-3 (62.5%) |
3-5 (37.5%) |
97.63 |
97.00 |
|
客場受讓時 |
7 |
3-4 (42.9%) |
4-3 (57.1%) |
3-4 (42.9%) |
96.71 |
98.57 |
|
休息一天時 |
19 |
14-5 (73.7%) |
13-6 (68.4%) |
3-16 (15.8%) |
93.42 |
87.42 |
|
輸球後 |
11 |
7-4 (63.6%) |
6-5 (54.5%) |
4-7 (36.4%) |
92.64 |
90.09 |
|
沒過盤後 |
14 |
8-6 (57.1%) |
7-7 (50%) |
5-9 (35.7%) |
92.07 |
91.29 |
|
週四出賽時 |
9 |
6-3 (66.7%) |
6-3 (66.7%) |
3-6 (33.3%) |
95.11 |
89.00 |
|
本季交手 |
2 |
1-1 (50%) |
2-0 (100%) |
1-1 (50%) |
98.00 |
98.50 |
|
近年交手 |
24 |
9-15 (37.5%) |
14-10 (58.3%) |
13-11 (54.2%) |
95.04 |
97.17 |
灰熊是一隻守優於攻的球隊,不過近況不佳,吞下了二連敗。而且
兩場比賽以大比分落敗。(分別以83:104、99:73敗給小牛跟快艇)
第二場比賽沒有Gay。
(2).馬刺:
出賽類型 |
本季例行賽各項盤口往績分析 |
平均 |
|||||
場數 |
獨贏盤戰績 |
讓分盤戰績 |
大小分比例 |
得分 |
失分 |
||
全部場次 |
40 |
29-11 (72.5%) |
23-17 (57.5%) |
19-21 (47.5%) |
104.80 |
96.73 |
|
近5場 |
5 |
3-2 (60%) |
2-3 (40%) |
1-4 (20%) |
101.80 |
95.00 |
|
主場 |
18 |
16-2 (88.9%) |
11-7 (61.1%) |
6-12 (33.3%) |
106.28 |
92.56 |
|
近5場主場 |
5 |
5-0 (100%) |
3-2 (60%) |
1-4 (20%) |
109.80 |
93.60 |
|
vs. 西岸 |
24 |
16-8 (66.7%) |
10-14 (41.7%) |
9-15 (37.5%) |
103.25 |
98.29 |
|
vs. 西南組 |
10 |
8-2 (80%) |
4-6 (40%) |
5-5 (50%) |
109.30 |
99.10 |
|
讓分出賽時 |
35 |
29-6 (82.9%) |
22-13 (62.9%) |
16-19 (45.7%) |
106.06 |
95.54 |
|
主場讓分時 |
18 |
16-2 (88.9%) |
11-7 (61.1%) |
6-12 (33.3%) |
106.28 |
92.56 |
|
休息兩天時 |
3 |
3-0 (100%) |
2-1 (66.7%) |
0-3 (0.00%) |
94.33 |
85.33 |
|
贏球後 |
29 |
20-9 (69%) |
18-11 (62.1%) |
15-14 (51.7%) |
104.97 |
96.90 |
|
過盤後 |
22 |
14-8 (63.6%) |
12-10 (54.5%) |
10-12 (45.5%) |
103.41 |
98.36 |
|
週四出賽時 |
9 |
7-2 (77.8%) |
5-4 (55.6%) |
5-4 (55.6%) |
104.00 |
98.11 |
|
本季交手 |
2 |
1-1 (50%) |
0-2 (0.00%) |
1-1 (50%) |
98.50 |
98.00 |
|
近年交手 |
24 |
15-9 (62.5%) |
10-14 (41.7%) |
13-11 (54.2%) |
97.17 |
95.04 |
馬刺則是一支攻守俱佳的球隊,不過由上表可看出馬刺在主場時,比
較容易開出小分。
3.整體考量:馬刺吉諾比利進入無限期傷兵名單,對馬刺來說絕對是一大損失
因為吉諾比利一直是馬刺板凳上最穩定的得分點。甚至比許多先發球員來的好
而這兩隊本季交手兩次,比分分別為95:99(馬刺主場勝),及98:101(灰熊主場勝)
兩次都打了延長賽,而且節奏是較慢的,若沒打延長賽,這兩次都會是小分。
而且之前季後賽馬刺VS灰熊想必大家都還記憶猶新,真的是硬碰硬的防守戰
加上莊家不斷調低大小盤盤分,因此推薦小分
推薦:小分
資料來源:運彩報馬仔、ESPN